Our Derby vs Luton Prediction: 1-1
Derby vs Luton in the England Championship is scheduled for an 11:30 GMT kick-off on Friday April 18, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Derby vs Luton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Derby's Last Match – Portsmouth vs Derby
Derby must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 2-2 England Championship draw against Portsmouth on April 12. In that match, Derby saw 40% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Portsmouth | 60% | 11 (4) | 1.9 | 76 |
Derby | 40% | 9 (6) | 1.42 | 48 |
Luton's Last Match – Luton vs Blackburn
Luton will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 England Championship loss to Blackburn on April 12. In that match, Luton had 59% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Luton | 59% | 12 (3) | 0.78 | 84 |
Blackburn | 41% | 3 (2) | 0.39 | 30 |
Derby vs Luton Stats
Key Stats
| Derby | Luton | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.43 | Attacking Strength | 0.91 |
| 0.71 | Defence Strength | 1.28 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Derby are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Luton average 0.7 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Derby 11-12
Luton 7-11
What are the odds for this match?
Derby to win: @2.6
Draw: @2.9
Luton to win: @3
Lineups
Derby (3-4-3) : Josh Vickers, Sondre Klingen Langas, Nat Phillips, Matt Clarke, Kane Wilson, Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Craig Forsyth, Nathaniel Mendez Laing, Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness
Luton (3-5-2) : Thomas Kaminski, Christ Makosso, Mark McGuinness, Amari’i Bell, Isaiah Jones, Kal Naismith, Thelo Aasgaard, Jordan Clark, Millenic Alli, Carlton Morris, Mouhamed Lamine Fanne Dabo