Our Middlesbrough vs Derby Prediction: 1-1
Middlesbrough vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 29, 2025. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Middlesbrough vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Middlesbrough's Last Match – Middlesbrough vs Coventry
After suffering a 2-4 England Championship loss to Coventry, Middlesbrough must win to get back on track. In that match, Middlesbrough recorded 63% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Middlesbrough | 63% | 10 (5) | 1.05 | 99 |
 Coventry | 37% | 13 (7) | 1.39 | 75 |
Derby's Last Match – Swansea vs Derby
Determined to maintain their recent success, Derby must win following their 2-1 England Championship victory against Swansea on November 25. In that match, Derby had 33% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Swansea | 67% | 7 (4) | 0.63 | 71 |
 Derby | 33% | 10 (5) | 1.04 | 47 |
Middlesbrough vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Middlesbrough | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | Attacking Strength | 1.36 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 0.82 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Middlesbrough are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Middlesbrough 10-13
Derby 15-10
What are the odds for this match?
Middlesbrough to win: @1.7
Draw: @3.5
Derby to win: @4.75