Our Oxford Utd vs Derby Prediction: 1-2
Oxford Utd vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 11:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 18, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-2 away win, but with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is also worth considering.
Our prediction is supported by key Oxford Utd vs Derby stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Oxford Utd's Last Match – Watford vs Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd will look to get back on track following a 1-2 England Championship loss against Watford on October 4. In that match, Oxford Utd recorded 42% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Watford | 58% | 19 (9) | 2.69 | 48 |
 Oxford Utd | 42% | 8 (6) | 1.19 | 37 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Southampton
Determined to get back to winning ways, Derby must win after their 1-1 England Championship draw against Southampton on October 4. In that match, Derby saw 37% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 37% | 9 (6) | 1.21 | 47 |
 Southampton | 63% | 12 (7) | 1.43 | 55 |
Oxford Utd vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Oxford Utd | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 1.18 | Defence Strength | 0.98 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Oxford Utd are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Oxford Utd 11-18
Derby 12-15
What are the odds for this match?
Oxford Utd to win: @2.45
Draw: @3.2
Derby to win: @3
Over 2.5 Goals: @2