Southampton vs Derby Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Southampton vs Derby Prediction: 2-1

Southampton vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 11, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.

This Southampton vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Southampton's Last Match – Wrexham vs Southampton

Determined to maintain their recent success, Southampton must win following their 5-1 England Championship victory against Wrexham on April 7. In that match, Southampton saw 46% of the ball and created 13 goal attempts, with 9 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Wrexham	54%	6 (1)	1.08	38
Southampton	46%	13 (9)	2.62	33

Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Stoke

Derby must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-0 England Championship victory over Stoke in their last outing. In that match, Derby controlled 52% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Derby	52%	12 (3)	2.57	70
Stoke	48%	7 (0)	0.3	45

Southampton vs Derby Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Southampton are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Southampton to win: @1.75

Draw: @3.8

Derby to win: @4.2

Southampton Fixtures

Derby Fixtures