Our Benfica vs FC Porto Prediction: 0-1
Benfica vs FC Porto in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 8, 2026. Our forecast favors a 0-1 away victory for FC Porto, with a single goal likely to decide this tense encounter against Benfica.
This Benfica vs FC Porto prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – Gil Vicente vs Benfica
Benfica will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 Portugal Primeira Liga victory over Gil Vicente on March 2. In that match, Benfica recorded 51% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gil Vicente | 49% | 10 (6) | 0.82 | 40 |
 Benfica | 51% | 7 (4) | 1.16 | 45 |
FC Porto's Last Match – Sporting vs FC Porto
After suffering a 0-1 Portugal Cup loss to Sporting, FC Porto must win to get back on track. In that match, FC Porto recorded 51% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 0 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting | 49% | 7 (1) | - | 4 |
 FC Porto | 51% | 6 (0) | - | 8 |
Benfica vs FC Porto Stats
Key Stats
| Benfica | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.63 | Attacking Strength | 1.53 |
| 0.56 | Defence Strength | 0.2 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while FC Porto average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Benfica 18-10
FC Porto 15-7
What are the odds for this match?
Benfica to win: @2.15
Draw: @3.25
FC Porto to win: @3.4
Lineups
Benfica (4-2-3-1) : Anatoliy Trubin, Amar Dedic, Tomas Araujo, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Enzo Barrenechea, Richard Rios, Gianluca Prestianni, Rafa Silva, Andreas Schjelderup, Vangelis Pavlidis
FC Porto (4-3-3) : Diogo Costa, Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Martim Fernandes, Victor Mow Froholdt, Alan Varela, Gabriel Veiga, Pepe, Deniz Daniel Gul, Oskar Pietuszewski