Our Sporting vs FC Porto Prediction: 1-1
Sporting vs FC Porto in the Portugal Cup is scheduled for an 20:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 3, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Sporting vs FC Porto prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sporting's Last Match – Moreirense vs Sporting
Sporting will hope to extend their good run following a 3-0 Portugal Primeira Liga win against Moreirense on February 21. In that match, Sporting controlled 63% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Moreirense | 37% | 5 (2) | 0.36 | 26 |
 Sporting | 63% | 11 (7) | 1.37 | 51 |
FC Porto's Last Match – FC Porto vs Rio Ave
FC Porto will aim to maintain their momentum following a 1-0 Portugal Primeira Liga triumph against Rio Ave on February 22. In that match, FC Porto recorded 55% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Porto | 55% | 10 (4) | 1.94 | 71 |
 Rio Ave | 45% | 5 (2) | 0.24 | 13 |
Sporting vs FC Porto Stats
Key Stats
| Sporting | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.99 | Attacking Strength | 1.52 |
| 0.48 | Defence Strength | 0.24 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sporting are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while FC Porto average 1.4 scored and 0.5 conceded per game.