Our Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction: 1-2
Fiorentina vs AC Milan in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 11, 2026. A 1-2 result in favor of the away side is our top pick, yet with both teams creating chances, BTTS is a smart alternative bet.
Our prediction comes from detailed stats and betting data — scroll down for team performance trends and recent form insights.
→ View Today's Final Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Fiorentina's Last Match – Lazio vs Fiorentina
Fiorentina will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 2-2 Italy Serie A draw with Lazio on January 7. In that match, Fiorentina controlled 51% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lazio | 49% | 10 (9) | 2.73 | 49 |
 Fiorentina | 51% | 5 (5) | 1.63 | 31 |
AC Milan's Last Match – AC Milan vs Genoa
AC Milan will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Italy Serie A draw against Genoa on January 8. In that match, AC Milan saw 61% of the ball and created 14 goal attempts, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AC Milan | 61% | 14 (8) | 2.32 | 110 |
 Genoa | 39% | 4 (2) | 1.32 | 15 |
Fiorentina vs AC Milan Stats
Key Stats
| Fiorentina | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | Attacking Strength | 1.41 |
| 1.41 | Defence Strength | 0.74 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Fiorentina are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while AC Milan average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Fiorentina 12-14
AC Milan 14-10
What are the odds for this match?
Fiorentina to win: @3.9
Draw: @3.4
AC Milan to win: @2
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.025
Lineups
Fiorentina (4-3-3) : David De Gea, Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Robin Gosens, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli, Cher Ndour, Fabiano Parisi, Moise Kean, Albert Gudmundsson
AC Milan (3-5-2) : Mike Maignan, Koni De Winter, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Ardon Jashari, Samuele Ricci, Pervis Estupinan, Christian Pulisic, Niclas Fullkrug