Our AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction: 1-1
AC Milan vs Fiorentina in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 5, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
Our prediction is supported by key AC Milan vs Fiorentina stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AC Milan's Last Match – AC Milan vs Inter Milan
AC Milan will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Coppa Italia stalemate against Inter Milan on April 2. In that match, AC Milan had 37% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AC Milan | 37% | 6 (4) | 0.86 | 30 |
Inter Milan | 63% | 12 (7) | 1.55 | 52 |
Fiorentina's Last Match – Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Fiorentina will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 Italy Serie A success over Atalanta on March 30. In that match, Fiorentina controlled 45% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina | 45% | 8 (4) | 1.48 | 20 |
Atalanta | 55% | 4 (0) | 1.21 | 39 |
AC Milan vs Fiorentina Stats
Key Stats
| AC Milan | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | Attacking Strength | 0.9 |
| 0.66 | Defence Strength | 0.8 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AC Milan are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Fiorentina average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
AC Milan 12-14
Fiorentina 15-11
What are the odds for this match?
AC Milan to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.5
Fiorentina to win: @4.2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.99
Lineups
AC Milan (4-2-3-1) : Mike Maignan, Kyle Walker, Fikayo Tomori, Malick Thiaw, Theo Hernandez, Yunus Musah, Youssouf Fofana, Christian Pulisic, Tijani Reijnders, Rafael Leao, Tammy Abraham
Fiorentina (3-5-2) : David De Gea, Marin Pongracic, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Rolando Mandragora, Danilo Cataldi, Nicolo Fagioli, Fabiano Parisi, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean