Our AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction: 1-1
AC Milan vs Fiorentina in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 19, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
Our prediction is supported by key AC Milan vs Fiorentina stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AC Milan's Last Match – Juventus vs AC Milan
AC Milan will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 0-0 Italy Serie A draw with Juventus on October 5. In that match, AC Milan recorded 49% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Juventus | 51% | 11 (3) | 0.68 | 56 |
 AC Milan | 49% | 10 (4) | 1.73 | 26 |
Fiorentina's Last Match – Fiorentina vs Roma
Fiorentina will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 Italy Serie A defeat against Roma on October 5. In that match, Fiorentina controlled 45% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fiorentina | 45% | 8 (3) | 0.83 | 31 |
 Roma | 55% | 6 (3) | 1.34 | 31 |
AC Milan vs Fiorentina Stats
Key Stats
| AC Milan | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Attacking Strength | 0.85 |
| 0.85 | Defence Strength | 0.93 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AC Milan are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Fiorentina average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.