Our Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction: 1-2
Lecce vs Fiorentina in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Monday April 20, 2026. A 1-2 result in favor of the away side is our top pick, yet with both teams creating chances, BTTS is a smart alternative bet.
This Lecce vs Fiorentina prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lecce's Last Match – Bologna vs Lecce
After suffering a 0-2 Italy Serie A loss to Bologna, Lecce must win to get back on track. In that match, Lecce recorded 35% possession, firing 3 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bologna | 65% | 7 (4) | 2.19 | 50 |
 Lecce | 35% | 3 (1) | 0.32 | 25 |
Fiorentina's Last Match – Fiorentina vs Lazio
Fiorentina must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 Italy Serie A victory over Lazio in their last outing. In that match, Fiorentina controlled 34% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fiorentina | 34% | 6 (2) | 0.5 | 30 |
 Lazio | 66% | 8 (6) | 1.42 | 59 |
Lecce vs Fiorentina Stats
Key Stats
| Lecce | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.61 | Attacking Strength | 1.11 |
| 1.29 | Defence Strength | 1.23 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lecce are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Fiorentina average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Lecce 8-16
Fiorentina 13-14
What are the odds for this match?
Lecce to win: @3.4
Draw: @3.2
Fiorentina to win: @2.15