Our Mainz vs Fiorentina Prediction: 1-0
Mainz vs Fiorentina in the UEFA Conference League is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Thursday November 6, 2025. We predict a narrow 1-0 victory for Mainz, as their solid defense should be enough to keep Fiorentina at bay.
This Mainz vs Fiorentina prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs Werder Bremen
Mainz will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Werder Bremen on November 1. In that match, Mainz recorded 46% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 46% | 6 (5) | 1.39 | 64 |
 Werder Bremen | 54% | 5 (3) | 0.94 | 33 |
Fiorentina's Last Match – Fiorentina vs Lecce
After suffering a 0-1 Italy Serie A loss to Lecce, Fiorentina must win to get back on track. In that match, Fiorentina controlled 63% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fiorentina | 63% | 10 (4) | 1.43 | 44 |
 Lecce | 37% | 9 (4) | 1.15 | 25 |
Mainz vs Fiorentina Stats
Key Stats
| Mainz | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Attacking Strength | 1.26 |
| 0 | Defence Strength | 0.78 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mainz are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Fiorentina average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Mainz 11-17
Fiorentina 11-15
What are the odds for this match?
Mainz to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.25
Fiorentina to win: @3.3
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Mainz (3-4-3) : Robin Zentner, Kacper Potulski, Danny da Costa, Dominik Kohr, Philipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Lennard Maloney, Sota Kawasaki, Paul Nebel, Nelson Weiper, Armindo Sieb
Fiorentina (3-5-2) : Tommaso Martinelli, Marin Pongracic, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Simon Sohm, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Cher Ndour, Niccolo Fortini, Jacopo Fazzini, Roberto Piccoli