Our Mainz vs Fiorentina Prediction: 1-0
Mainz vs Fiorentina in the UEFA Conference League is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Thursday November 6, 2025. We predict a narrow 1-0 victory for Mainz, as their solid defense should be enough to keep Fiorentina at bay.
This Mainz vs Fiorentina prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mainz's Last Match – VfB Stuttgart vs Mainz
Mainz will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Germany Bundesliga I loss against VfB Stuttgart on October 26. In that match, Mainz recorded 41% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
VfB Stuttgart | 59% | 12 (8) | 2.06 | 36 |
Mainz | 41% | 10 (2) | 1.48 | 43 |
Fiorentina's Last Match – Fiorentina vs Bologna
Fiorentina should win to turn things around after settling for a 2-2 Italy Serie A draw against Bologna on October 26. In that match, Fiorentina controlled 50% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina | 50% | 12 (7) | 2.98 | 29 |
Bologna | 50% | 4 (3) | 0.54 | 22 |
Mainz vs Fiorentina Stats
Key Stats
| Mainz | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Attacking Strength | 1.26 |
| 0 | Defence Strength | 0.78 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mainz are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Fiorentina average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.



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