Our FK Qarabag vs Ajax Prediction: 2-1
FK Qarabag vs Ajax in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday December 10, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
Our prediction comes from detailed stats and betting data — scroll down for team performance trends and recent form insights.
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Recent Form Insights
FK Qarabag's Last Match – Napoli vs FK Qarabag
FK Qarabag will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 UEFA Champions League defeat against Napoli on November 25. In that match, FK Qarabag recorded 45% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Napoli | 55% | 8 (7) | 3.42 | 49 |
 FK Qarabag | 45% | 6 (3) | 0.48 | 26 |
Ajax's Last Match – Ajax vs Benfica
Ajax will look to get back on track following a 0-2 UEFA Champions League loss against Benfica on November 25. In that match, Ajax recorded 62% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ajax | 62% | 5 (3) | 0.95 | 48 |
 Benfica | 38% | 7 (4) | 0.96 | 35 |
FK Qarabag vs Ajax Stats
Key Stats
| FK Qarabag | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | Attacking Strength | 1.37 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 0.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
FK Qarabag are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Ajax average 1.0 scored and 2.6 conceded per game.