Our FK Qarabag vs Ajax Prediction: 2-1
FK Qarabag vs Ajax in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday December 10, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
Our prediction comes from detailed stats and betting data — scroll down for team performance trends and recent form insights.
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Recent Form Insights
FK Qarabag's Last Match – Zira IK vs FK Qarabag
FK Qarabag will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Azerbaijan Premier League draw with Zira IK on December 6. In that match, FK Qarabag recorded 64% possession, firing 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zira IK | 36% | 0 (2) | - | 58 |
 FK Qarabag | 64% | 0 (3) | - | 111 |
Ajax's Last Match – Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax
Ajax will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-1 Netherlands Eredivisie victory over Fortuna Sittard on December 6. In that match, Ajax recorded 65% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fortuna Sittard | 35% | 17 (6) | 2.17 | 49 |
 Ajax | 65% | 6 (6) | 1 | 48 |
FK Qarabag vs Ajax Stats
Key Stats
| FK Qarabag | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | Attacking Strength | 1.37 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 0.5 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
FK Qarabag are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Ajax average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.