Our Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Prediction: 1-1
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 21:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 28, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Sao Paulo vs Flamengo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs Sao Bernardo SP
Sao Paulo will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 Brazil Campeonato Paulista victory over Sao Bernardo SP on January 16. In that match, Sao Paulo had 58% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sao Paulo | 58% | 7 (2) | 0.78 | 60 |
Sao Bernardo SP | 42% | 7 (3) | 0.11 | 17 |
Flamengo's Last Match – Bangu vs Flamengo
Flamengo will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 Brazil Campeonato Carioca defeat against Bangu on January 15. In that match, Flamengo saw 72% of the ball and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bangu | 28% | 0 (3) | 0.68 | 34 |
Flamengo | 72% | 0 (7) | 0.91 | 83 |
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Attacking Strength | 1.8 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Flamengo average 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 11-17
Flamengo 16-9
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @3.6
Draw: @3.5
Flamengo to win: @2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95



Sao Paulo
Sao Bernardo SP
Bangu
Flamengo
Atletico Mineiro
Botafogo
Athletico Paranaense
Chapecoense
Coritiba
Flamengo
Vasco da Gama
Cruzeiro
EC Bahia
Vitoria
Fluminense
Gremio
Mirassol
Bragantino
Clube do Remo
Santos
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Internacional
Palmeiras