Our Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza Prediction: 2-1
Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 01:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday May 3, 2025. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs Nautico
Sao Paulo will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 Copa do Brasil triumph against Nautico on April 30. In that match, Sao Paulo controlled 58% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Sao Paulo | 58% | 11 (6) | 0.88 | 51 |
Nautico | 42% | 5 (1) | 0.27 | 55 |
Fortaleza's Last Match – Retro FC Brasil vs Fortaleza
Fortaleza will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Copa do Brasil draw against Retro FC Brasil on April 29. In that match, Fortaleza recorded 59% possession, attempting 15 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Retro FC Brasil | 41% | 17 (6) | 0.52 | 28 |
Fortaleza | 59% | 15 (7) | 1.8 | 46 |
Sao Paulo vs Fortaleza Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 1.22 | Defence Strength | 1.12 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Fortaleza average 0.7 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 13-8
Fortaleza 7-11
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @1.8
Draw: @3.5
Fortaleza to win: @4.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.06
Lineups
Sao Paulo (4-2-3-1) : Rafael, Nahuel Ferraresi, Alan Franco, Ruan, Wendell, Alisson, Damian Bobadilla, Lucas dos Santos Ferreira, Matheus Alves Nascimento, Ferreira, Andre Silva
Fortaleza (4-3-3) : Joao Ricardo, Eros Nazareno Mancuso, Benjamin Kuscevic, Gustavo Teixeira Lopes da Conceicao, Bruno Pacheco, Emmanuel Martinez, Lucas Sasha, Matheus Rossetto, Yago Pikachu, Juan Martin Lucero, Breno