Our Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction: 1-2
Genoa vs Atalanta in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 21, 2025. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Genoa vs Atalanta prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Genoa's Last Match – Genoa vs Inter Milan
Genoa must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Italy Serie A defeat against Inter Milan on December 14 and regain momentum. In that match, Genoa recorded 36% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Genoa | 36% | 5 (3) | 0.92 | 34 |
 Inter Milan | 64% | 10 (8) | 1.44 | 59 |
Atalanta's Last Match – Atalanta vs Cagliari
Atalanta will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Italy Serie A victory over Cagliari, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Atalanta controlled 58% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atalanta | 58% | 12 (8) | 2.59 | 49 |
 Cagliari | 42% | 5 (1) | 0.53 | 34 |
Genoa vs Atalanta Stats
Key Stats
| Genoa | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.65 | Attacking Strength | 1.48 |
| 1.48 | Defence Strength | 0.97 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Genoa are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Atalanta average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Genoa 13-18
Atalanta 16-12
What are the odds for this match?
Genoa to win: @4
Draw: @3.4
Atalanta to win: @1.95
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.8
Lineups
Genoa (3-5-2) : Nicola Leali, Alessandro Marcandalli, Sebastian Otoa, Johan Vasquez, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Mikael Ellertsson, Morten Frendrup, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Aaron Martin, Vítor Carvalho, Caleb Ekuban
Atalanta (3-4-2-1) : Marco Carnesecchi, Marten De Roon, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac, Davide Zappacosta, Yunus Musah, Ederson, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Charles De Ketelaere, Daniel Maldini, Gianluca Scamacca
Inter Milan 
AC Milan 
Napoli 
Roma 
Juventus 
Como 
Atalanta 
Bologna 
Sassuolo 
Lazio 
Udinese 
Parma 
Cagliari 
Genoa 
Torino 
Fiorentina 
Cremonese 
Lecce 
Pisa 
Verona