Our Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction: 1-2
Genoa vs Atalanta in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 21, 2025. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Genoa vs Atalanta prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Genoa's Last Match – Genoa vs Inter Milan
Genoa must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Italy Serie A defeat against Inter Milan on December 14 and regain momentum. In that match, Genoa recorded 36% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Genoa | 36% | 5 (3) | 0.92 | 34 |
 Inter Milan | 64% | 10 (8) | 1.44 | 59 |
Atalanta's Last Match – Atalanta vs Cagliari
Atalanta will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Italy Serie A victory over Cagliari, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Atalanta controlled 58% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atalanta | 58% | 12 (8) | 2.59 | 49 |
 Cagliari | 42% | 5 (1) | 0.53 | 34 |
Genoa vs Atalanta Stats
Key Stats
| Genoa | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.65 | Attacking Strength | 1.48 |
| 1.48 | Defence Strength | 0.97 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Genoa are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Atalanta average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Genoa 13-18
Atalanta 16-12
What are the odds for this match?
Genoa to win: @4
Draw: @3.4
Atalanta to win: @1.95
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.8
Lineups
Genoa (3-5-2) : Nicola Leali, Alessandro Marcandalli, Sebastian Otoa, Johan Vasquez, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Mikael Ellertsson, Morten Frendrup, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Aaron Martin, Vítor Carvalho, Caleb Ekuban
Atalanta (3-4-2-1) : Marco Carnesecchi, Marten De Roon, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac, Davide Zappacosta, Yunus Musah, Ederson, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Charles De Ketelaere, Daniel Maldini, Gianluca Scamacca