Our Tusker vs Gor Mahia Prediction: 1-2
Tusker vs Gor Mahia in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 13:15 GMT kick-off on Tuesday April 14, 2026. We’re backing a 1-2 away win, but with both sides showing goal-scoring potential, BTTS is another good betting choice.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tusker's Last Match – Tusker vs Kariobangi Sharks
Tusker will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Kenya Premier League victory over Gor Mahia, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Tusker saw 41% of the ball and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tusker | 34% | 0 (1) | - | 28 |
 Kariobangi Sharks | 66% | 0 (1) | - | 57 |
Gor Mahia's Last Match – Gor Mahia vs Kariobangi Sharks
Gor Mahia will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Kenya Premier League defeat at the hands of Tusker on April 14. In that match, Gor Mahia controlled 59% of possession and managed 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gor Mahia | 57% | 0 (1) | - | 88 |
| Kariobangi Sharks | 43% | 0 (2) | - | 62 |
Tusker vs Gor Mahia Stats
Key Stats
| Tusker | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | Attacking Strength | 1.95 |
| 1.3 | Defence Strength | 0.69 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 2.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tusker are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Gor Mahia average 2.1 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.