Our Mara Sugar FC vs Mathare United Prediction: 1-1
Mara Sugar FC vs Mathare United in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 12:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday May 2, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Mara Sugar FC vs Mathare United prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mara Sugar FC's Last Match – Mara Sugar FC vs Posta Rangers
Mara Sugar FC will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Kenya Premier League victory over Posta Rangers, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Mara Sugar FC recorded 50% possession, firing 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mara Sugar FC | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 89 |
 Posta Rangers | 50% | 0 (1) | - | 62 |
Mathare United's Last Match – Mathare United vs Kenya Police FC
Mathare United will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 Kenya Premier League stalemate against Kenya Police FC on April 14. In that match, Mathare United saw 49% of the ball and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mathare United | 49% | 0 (3) | - | 48 |
Kenya Police FC | 51% | 0 (2) | - | 54 |
Mara Sugar FC vs Mathare United Stats
Key Stats
| Mara Sugar FC | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 0.87 | Defence Strength | 1.08 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mara Sugar FC are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Mathare United average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.