Our Mathare United vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction: 2-1
Mathare United vs Mara Sugar FC in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 10:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday December 6, 2025. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Mathare United vs Mara Sugar FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mathare United's Last Match – Nairobi United vs Mathare United
Mathare United will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 Kenya Premier League success over Nairobi United on December 4. In that match, Mathare United recorded 47% possession and 6 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Nairobi United | 53% | 0 (3) | - | 100 |
 Mathare United | 47% | 0 (6) | - | 86 |
Mara Sugar FC's Last Match – Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker
After suffering a 0-1 Kenya Premier League loss to Tusker, Mara Sugar FC must win to get back on track. In that match, Mara Sugar FC had 55% possession and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mara Sugar FC | 55% | 0 (5) | - | 62 |
 Tusker | 45% | 0 (4) | - | 46 |
Mathare United vs Mara Sugar FC Stats
Key Stats
| Mathare United | Mara Sugar FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | Attacking Strength | 1.32 |
| 1.21 | Defence Strength | 1.76 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mathare United are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Mara Sugar FC average 0.7 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.