Our Guimaraes vs Estrela Prediction: 2-1
Guimaraes vs Estrela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Guimaraes vs Estrela prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Guimaraes's Last Match – Arouca vs Guimaraes
Guimaraes must win to recover from their recent 2-3 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Arouca on February 7 and regain momentum. In that match, Guimaraes controlled 49% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arouca | 51% | 9 (6) | 1.71 | 25 |
 Guimaraes | 49% | 10 (6) | 1.67 | 54 |
Estrela's Last Match – Estrela vs Santa Clara
Estrela will hope to extend their good run following a 1-0 Portugal Primeira Liga win against Santa Clara on February 7. In that match, Estrela recorded 45% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Estrela | 45% | 8 (4) | 0.93 | 33 |
 Santa Clara | 55% | 11 (6) | 1.31 | 53 |
Guimaraes vs Estrela Stats
Key Stats
| Guimaraes | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 0.97 | Defence Strength | 1.38 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Guimaraes are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Estrela average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Guimaraes 12-16
Estrela 13-20
What are the odds for this match?
Guimaraes to win: @1.666
Draw: @3.5
Estrela to win: @5.5
Lineups
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1) : Charles, Tony Strata, Thiago Balieiro Lourenco De Carvalho, Rodrigo Abascal, Joao Mendes, Beni Mukendi, Diogo Lobao Sousa, Oumar Camara, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Gustavo Silva
Estrela (3-4-3) : Renan Ribeiro, Luan Patrick, Bernardo Schappo, Stefan Lekovic, Jefferson Encada, Eddy Doue, Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira, Otavio, Abraham Marcus, Rodrigo Pinho, Jovane Cabral
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Braga 
Famalicao 
Gil Vicente 
Estoril 
Moreirense 
Guimaraes 
Rio Ave 
Arouca 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Santa Clara 
Nacional 
Casa Pia 
Tondela 
AVS