Our Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction: 1-2
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Hamburg vs Bayern Munich prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hamburg's Last Match – Hamburg vs Borussia M'gladbach
Hamburg must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Borussia M'gladbach on January 17. In that match, Hamburg had 57% possession and 22 attempts at goal, with 12 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hamburg | 57% | 22 (12) | 1.05 | 48 |
 Borussia M'gladbach | 43% | 6 (0) | 0.39 | 31 |
Bayern Munich's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich
Determined to maintain their recent success, Bayern Munich must win following their 5-1 Germany Bundesliga I victory against RB Leipzig on January 17. In that match, Bayern Munich recorded 58% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 12 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 RB Leipzig | 42% | 10 (4) | 2.43 | 37 |
 Bayern Munich | 58% | 13 (12) | 4.63 | 44 |
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Stats
Key Stats
| Hamburg | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | Attacking Strength | 2.43 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 0.43 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 9/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 10/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 4.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hamburg are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Bayern Munich average 4.1 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Hamburg 16-16
Bayern Munich 41-9
What are the odds for this match?
Hamburg to win: @7.5
Draw: @5.75
Bayern Munich to win: @1.333