Our Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction: 1-3
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. We anticipate a 1-3 win for the visitors, but with both teams frequently finding the net, a bet on over 2.5 goals is also worth considering.
This Hamburg vs Bayern Munich prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hamburg's Last Match – SC Freiburg vs Hamburg
Hamburg must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against SC Freiburg on January 10. In that match, Hamburg had 40% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SC Freiburg | 60% | 13 (7) | 2.83 | 40 |
Hamburg | 40% | 9 (5) | 0.63 | 28 |
Bayern Munich's Last Match – FC Salzburg vs Bayern Munich
Determined to maintain their recent success, Bayern Munich must win following their 5-0 Elite Club Friendlies victory against FC Salzburg on January 6. In that match, Bayern Munich recorded 68% possession, firing 10 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FC Salzburg | 32% | 0 (1) | 1.4 | 27 |
Bayern Munich | 68% | 0 (10) | 2.34 | 82 |
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Stats
Key Stats
| Hamburg | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | Attacking Strength | 2.35 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 0.5 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 10/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 3.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hamburg are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Bayern Munich average 3.4 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.



SC Freiburg
Hamburg
FC Salzburg
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
TSG Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
Cologne
Werder Bremen
Borussia M'gladbach
Hamburg
Wolfsburg
Augsburg
St Pauli
Heidenheim
Mainz