Our Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction: 1-2
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Hamburg vs Bayern Munich prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hamburg's Last Match – St Pauli vs Hamburg
Hamburg must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 Germany Bundesliga I draw against St Pauli on January 23. In that match, Hamburg had 57% possession and 3 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 43% | 6 (3) | 0.26 | 30 |
 Hamburg | 57% | 3 (2) | 0.35 | 41 |
Bayern Munich's Last Match – PSV vs Bayern Munich
Determined to maintain their recent success, Bayern Munich must win following their 2-1 UEFA Champions League victory against PSV on January 28. In that match, Bayern Munich recorded 58% possession, firing 14 shots at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 PSV | 42% | 10 (7) | 0.69 | 46 |
 Bayern Munich | 58% | 14 (8) | 1.79 | 53 |
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Stats
Key Stats
| Hamburg | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | Attacking Strength | 2.43 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 0.43 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 9/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 10/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 4.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hamburg are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Bayern Munich average 3.5 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Hamburg 15-15
Bayern Munich 35-9
What are the odds for this match?
Hamburg to win: @7.5
Draw: @5.75
Bayern Munich to win: @1.333