Our St Pauli vs Hamburg Prediction: 1-1
St Pauli vs Hamburg in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Friday January 23, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This St Pauli vs Hamburg prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
St Pauli's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli
St Pauli will be eager to respond after suffering a 2-3 Germany Bundesliga I defeat at the hands of Borussia Dortmund on January 17. In that match, St Pauli controlled 37% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 63% | 8 (6) | 2.33 | 50 |
 St Pauli | 37% | 7 (5) | 0.5 | 35 |
Hamburg's Last Match – Hamburg vs Borussia M'gladbach
Hamburg will be determined to find a winning touch after a 0-0 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Borussia M'gladbach on January 17. In that match, Hamburg saw 57% of the ball and created 22 goal attempts, with 12 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hamburg | 57% | 22 (12) | 1.05 | 48 |
 Borussia M'gladbach | 43% | 6 (0) | 0.39 | 31 |
St Pauli vs Hamburg Stats
Key Stats
| St Pauli | Hamburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | Attacking Strength | 0.34 |
| 1.28 | Defence Strength | 1.39 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Pauli are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Hamburg average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
St Pauli 10-14
Hamburg 16-16
What are the odds for this match?
St Pauli to win: @2.45
Draw: @3.2
Hamburg to win: @2.875