Our Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel Prediction: 3-1
Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday May 17, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund will seek to keep their streak alive after a 4-2 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Bayer Leverkusen on May 11. In that match, Borussia Dortmund controlled 39% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bayer Leverkusen | 61% | 13 (10) | 2.62 | 90 |
Borussia Dortmund | 39% | 7 (5) | 1.44 | 24 |
Holstein Kiel's Last Match – Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg
Holstein Kiel must win to recover from their recent 1-2 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against SC Freiburg on May 10 and regain momentum. In that match, Holstein Kiel recorded 51% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Holstein Kiel | 51% | 10 (3) | 0.98 | 44 |
SC Freiburg | 49% | 7 (4) | 1.57 | 67 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel Stats
Key Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 1.09 |
| 0.88 | Defence Strength | 1.33 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.6 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund are averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Holstein Kiel average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund 26-17
Holstein Kiel 15-18
What are the odds for this match?
Borussia Dortmund to win: @1.083
Draw: @13
Holstein Kiel to win: @19
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1) : Gregor Kobel, Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Julian Brandt, Karim Adeyemi, Serhou Guirassy
Holstein Kiel (3-4-2-1) : Thomas Dahne, Timo Becker, Carl Johansson, David Zec, Lasse Rosenboom, Lewis Holtby, Nicolai Remberg, John Tolkin, Alexander Bernhardsson, Shuto Machino, Steven Skrzybski