Our Italy vs Israel Prediction: 3-1
Italy vs Israel in the Europe - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday October 14, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key Italy vs Israel stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Italy's Last Match – Israel vs Italy
Italy will look to carry forward their winning form after a 5-4 Europe - World Cup Qualifying success over Israel on September 8. In that match, Italy recorded 54% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel | 46% | 9 (7) | 1.4 | 28 |
 Italy | 54% | 13 (7) | 1.8 | 53 |
Israel's Last Match – Israel vs Italy
Israel must win to recover from their recent 4-5 Europe - World Cup Qualifying defeat against Italy on September 8 and regain momentum. In that match, Israel controlled 46% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | 46% | 9 (7) | 1.4 | 28 |
| Italy | 54% | 13 (7) | 1.8 | 53 |
Italy vs Israel Stats
Key Stats
| Italy | Israel | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | Attacking Strength | 1.88 |
| 0.3 | Defence Strength | 1.21 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Italy are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Israel average 1.9 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.