Our Estonia vs Italy Prediction: 1-3
Estonia vs Italy in the Europe - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 11, 2025. With both teams showing attacking intent, a 1-3 away victory is our primary pick, but over 2.5 goals stands out as another strong betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Estonia vs Italy stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Estonia's Last Match – Estonia vs Andorra
Estonia will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 0-0 International Match draw with Andorra on September 9. In that match, Estonia saw 50% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Estonia | 50% | 10 (6) | - | 134 |
 Andorra | 50% | 3 (4) | - | 25 |
Italy's Last Match – Israel vs Italy
Italy will want to continue their winning form after a 5-4 Europe - World Cup Qualifying victory over Israel, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Italy controlled 54% of possession and managed 13 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel | 46% | 9 (7) | 1.4 | 28 |
 Italy | 54% | 13 (7) | 1.8 | 53 |
Estonia vs Italy Stats
Key Stats
| Estonia | Italy | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.71 | Attacking Strength | 1.03 |
| 1.83 | Defence Strength | 0.71 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Estonia are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Italy average 2.4 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Estonia 8-18
Italy 24-18
What are the odds for this match?
Estonia to win: @21
Draw: @12
Italy to win: @1.083