Our Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction: 1-2
Lazio vs AC Milan in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 15, 2026. A 1-2 result in favor of the away side is our top pick, yet with both teams creating chances, BTTS is a smart alternative bet.
This Lazio vs AC Milan prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lazio's Last Match – Lazio vs Sassuolo
Lazio will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 Italy Serie A triumph against Sassuolo on March 9. In that match, Lazio controlled 50% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lazio | 50% | 12 (5) | 2.58 | 56 |
 Sassuolo | 50% | 4 (4) | 0.66 | 41 |
AC Milan's Last Match – AC Milan vs Inter Milan
AC Milan will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 1-0 Italy Serie A victory over Inter Milan on March 8. In that match, AC Milan had 37% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AC Milan | 37% | 7 (2) | 0.76 | 18 |
 Inter Milan | 63% | 6 (2) | 1.23 | 75 |
Lazio vs AC Milan Stats
Key Stats
| Lazio | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | Attacking Strength | 1.62 |
| 1.11 | Defence Strength | 0.61 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lazio are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while AC Milan average 1.5 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Lazio 10-15
AC Milan 15-6
What are the odds for this match?
Lazio to win: @4
Draw: @3.3
AC Milan to win: @2
Lineups
Lazio (4-3-3) : Edoardo Motta, Adam Marusic, Mario Gila, Oliver Provstgaard, Nuno Tavares, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Patric, Kenneth Taylor, Gustav Isaksen, Daniel Maldini, Mattia Zaccagni
AC Milan (3-5-2) : Mike Maignan, Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Ardon Jashari, Pervis Estupinan, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao