Our Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction: 1-0
Lazio vs AC Milan in the Coppa Italia is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday December 4, 2025. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for Lazio seems the most probable outcome against AC Milan.
This Lazio vs AC Milan prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lazio's Last Match – Lazio vs Lecce
Lazio will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 Italy Serie A success over Lecce on November 23. In that match, Lazio had 68% possession and 15 attempts at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lazio | 68% | 15 (9) | 1.72 | 67 |
 Lecce | 32% | 2 (1) | 0.61 | 33 |
AC Milan's Last Match – Inter Milan vs AC Milan
AC Milan will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 1-0 Italy Serie A victory over Inter Milan on November 23. In that match, AC Milan controlled 36% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Inter Milan | 64% | 11 (6) | 1.6 | 84 |
 AC Milan | 36% | 7 (3) | 0.99 | 41 |
Lazio vs AC Milan Stats
Key Stats
| Lazio | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | Attacking Strength | 0.9 |
| 0.36 | Defence Strength | 0.44 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lazio are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while AC Milan average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Lazio 11-7
AC Milan 17-7
What are the odds for this match?
Lazio to win: @3.25
Draw: @3.5
AC Milan to win: @2.15