Our Aston Villa vs Leeds Prediction: 2-1
Aston Villa vs Leeds in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
Our prediction is supported by key Aston Villa vs Leeds stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Aston Villa's Last Match – Aston Villa vs Newcastle
Aston Villa will look to get back on track following a 1-3 England FA Cup loss against Newcastle on February 14. In that match, Aston Villa controlled 43% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aston Villa | 43% | 6 (2) | 0.77 | 32 |
 Newcastle | 57% | 6 (3) | 1.3 | 64 |
Leeds's Last Match – Birmingham vs Leeds
Leeds will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 England FA Cup draw with Birmingham on February 15. In that match, Leeds recorded 45% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Birmingham | 55% | 12 (5) | 1.16 | 88 |
 Leeds | 45% | 4 (3) | 1.09 | 55 |
Aston Villa vs Leeds Stats
Key Stats
| Aston Villa | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Attacking Strength | 0.88 |
| 0.48 | Defence Strength | 1.32 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Aston Villa are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Leeds average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Aston Villa 11-9
Leeds 15-15
What are the odds for this match?
Aston Villa to win: @1.85
Draw: @3.5
Leeds to win: @4.333
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1) : Emiliano Martinez, Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Tyrone Mings, Ian Maatsen, Douglas Luiz, Amadou Onana, Leon Bailey, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins
Leeds (5-4-1) : Karl Darlow, James Justin, Ethan Ampadu, Pascal Struijk, Joe Rodon, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Jayden Bogle, Ilia Gruev, Anton Stach, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin
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