Our Burnley vs Leeds Prediction: 2-2
Burnley vs Leeds in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 18, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 2-2 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Burnley vs Leeds prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Aston Villa vs Burnley
Burnley must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 England Premier League defeat against Aston Villa on October 5. In that match, Burnley recorded 45% possession, attempting 3 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Villa | 55% | 10 (7) | 1.37 | 30 |
Burnley | 45% | 3 (2) | 0.42 | 32 |
Leeds's Last Match – Leeds vs Tottenham
After suffering a 1-2 England Premier League loss to Tottenham, Leeds must win to get back on track. In that match, Leeds saw 57% of the ball and created 14 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Leeds | 57% | 14 (4) | 1.65 | 48 |
Tottenham | 43% | 8 (3) | 0.52 | 38 |
Burnley vs Leeds Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.62 | Attacking Strength | 0.88 |
| 1.32 | Defence Strength | 1.72 |
| 0.7 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Leeds average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Burnley 10-19
Leeds 10-14
What are the odds for this match?
Burnley to win: @3.25
Draw: @3.3
Leeds to win: @2.2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95



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