Our Leeds vs Burnley Prediction: 2-1
Leeds vs Burnley in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Friday May 1, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This Leeds vs Burnley prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Leeds's Last Match – Man Utd vs Leeds
Leeds must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 England Premier League victory over Man Utd in their last outing.
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Brighton
Burnley must win to recover from their recent 0-2 England Premier League defeat against Brighton on April 11 and regain momentum. In that match, Burnley controlled 49% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 49% | 8 (5) | 0.9 | 40 |
 Brighton | 51% | 9 (6) | 1.9 | 48 |
Leeds vs Burnley Stats
Key Stats
| Leeds | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Attacking Strength | 0.72 |
| 1.03 | Defence Strength | 1.34 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 0.5 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leeds are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Burnley average 0.9 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.