Our Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction: 3-1
Chelsea vs Leeds in the England FA Cup is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 25, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Man City
Chelsea will hope to recover from their recent 0-3 England Premier League setback against Man City on April 12. In that match, Chelsea recorded 36% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 36% | 8 (3) | 1.14 | 35 |
 Man City | 64% | 12 (8) | 1.89 | 83 |
Leeds's Last Match – West Ham vs Leeds
Leeds will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 England FA Cup share of the spoils with West Ham on April 5. In that match, Leeds controlled 45% of possession and managed 14 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 West Ham | 55% | 15 (6) | 2.91 | 77 |
 Leeds | 45% | 14 (8) | 2.37 | 58 |
Chelsea vs Leeds Stats
Key Stats
| Chelsea | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | Attacking Strength | 1.14 |
| 0.47 | Defence Strength | 1 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chelsea are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Leeds average 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Chelsea 19-21
Leeds 12-9
What are the odds for this match?
Chelsea to win: @1.65
Draw: @4
Leeds to win: @4.75