Our Luton vs Leeds Prediction: 0-1
Luton vs Leeds in the England Championship is scheduled for an 11:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 5, 2025. Luton could struggle to break down Leeds’s defense, making a 0-1 away win the most likely outcome in this matchup.
This Luton vs Leeds prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Luton's Last Match – Hull vs Luton
Determined to maintain their recent success, Luton must win following their 1-0 England Championship victory against Hull on March 29. In that match, Luton controlled 35% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hull | 65% | 4 (3) | 0.78 | 71 |
 Luton | 35% | 3 (2) | 0.65 | 36 |
Leeds's Last Match – Leeds vs Swansea
Leeds must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 2-2 England Championship draw against Swansea on March 29. In that match, Leeds saw 55% of the ball and created 11 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leeds | 55% | 11 (6) | 1.75 | 33 |
 Swansea | 45% | 8 (6) | 1.98 | 43 |
Luton vs Leeds Stats
Key Stats
| Luton | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.48 | Attacking Strength | 1.76 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 0.55 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.6 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Luton are averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Leeds average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Luton 6-12
Leeds 18-10
What are the odds for this match?
Luton to win: @5.25
Draw: @4.1
Leeds to win: @1.6
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.025
Lineups
Luton (3-5-2) : Thomas Kaminski, Christ Makosso, Mark McGuinness, Amari’i Bell, Isaiah Jones, Jordan Clark, Thelo Aasgaard, Liam Walsh, Alfie Doughty, Carlton Morris, Elijah Adebayo
Leeds (4-2-3-1) : Karl Darlow, Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Pascal Struijk, Junior Firpo, Ao Tanaka, Ethan Ampadu, Daniel James, Degnand Wilfried Gnonto, Manor Solomon, Joel Piroe
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