Our Pachuca vs Leon Prediction: 1-0
Pachuca vs Leon in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:06 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 14, 2026. Leon will put up a fight, but Leon’s quality should prevail in a tight 1-0 home win.
This Pachuca vs Leon prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Pachuca's Last Match – Chivas Guadalajara vs Pachuca
Pachuca will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Mexico Liga MX loss against Chivas Guadalajara on January 10. In that match, Pachuca recorded 42% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chivas Guadalajara | 58% | 12 (6) | 2.62 | 40 |
 Pachuca | 42% | 4 (2) | 0.43 | 25 |
Leon's Last Match – Leon vs Cruz Azul
Leon will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 Mexico Liga MX success over Cruz Azul on January 11. In that match, Leon recorded 45% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leon | 45% | 7 (6) | 0.62 | 19 |
 Cruz Azul | 55% | 13 (7) | 1.68 | 51 |
Pachuca vs Leon Stats
Key Stats
| Pachuca | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.59 | Attacking Strength | 0.32 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 1.24 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 0.5 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Pachuca are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Leon average 0.8 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.
Pachuca 14-15
Leon 8-23
What are the odds for this match?
Pachuca to win: @1.615
Draw: @4
Leon to win: @5.5
Lineups
Pachuca (4-2-3-1) : Carlos Moreno, Alan Mozo, Eduardo Bauermann, Sergio Barreto, Brian Garcia, Alan Bautista, Christian Rivera, Elias Montiel, Robert Kenedy, Oussama Idrissi, Jhonder Cadiz
Leon (4-4-2) : Oscar Garcia, Bryan Colula, Stiven Barreiro, Sebastian Vegas, Salvador Reyes, Jose Rodriguez, Juan Dominguez, Rodrigo Echeverria, Fernando Beltran, Ismael Diaz, Diber Cambindo