Our Pachuca vs Leon Prediction: 1-0
Pachuca vs Leon in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 01:06 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 14, 2026. Leon will put up a fight, but Leon’s quality should prevail in a tight 1-0 home win.
This Pachuca vs Leon prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Pachuca's Last Match – Chivas Guadalajara vs Pachuca
Pachuca will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Mexico Liga MX loss against Chivas Guadalajara on January 10. In that match, Pachuca recorded 42% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chivas Guadalajara | 58% | 12 (6) | 2.62 | 40 |
 Pachuca | 42% | 4 (2) | 0.43 | 25 |
Leon's Last Match – Leon vs Cruz Azul
Leon will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 Mexico Liga MX success over Cruz Azul on January 11. In that match, Leon recorded 45% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leon | 45% | 7 (6) | 0.62 | 19 |
 Cruz Azul | 55% | 13 (7) | 1.68 | 51 |
Pachuca vs Leon Stats
Key Stats
| Pachuca | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.59 | Attacking Strength | 0.32 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 1.24 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 0.5 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Pachuca are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Leon average 0.8 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.
Pachuca 14-15
Leon 8-23
What are the odds for this match?
Pachuca to win: @1.615
Draw: @4
Leon to win: @5.5
Lineups
Pachuca (4-2-3-1) : Carlos Moreno, Alan Mozo, Eduardo Bauermann, Sergio Barreto, Brian Garcia, Alan Bautista, Christian Rivera, Elias Montiel, Robert Kenedy, Oussama Idrissi, Jhonder Cadiz
Leon (4-4-2) : Oscar Garcia, Bryan Colula, Stiven Barreiro, Sebastian Vegas, Salvador Reyes, Jose Rodriguez, Juan Dominguez, Rodrigo Echeverria, Fernando Beltran, Ismael Diaz, Diber Cambindo
Cruz Azul 
Toluca 
Chivas Guadalajara 
Pachuca 
Unam Pumas 
Atlas 
Monterrey 
Tigres UANL 
Club America 
Puebla 
Atletico San Luis 
Juarez FC 
Leon 
Tijuana 
Necaxa 
Mazatlan FC 
Queretaro 
Santos Laguna