Our Lille vs Marseille Prediction: 1-1
Lille vs Marseille in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Friday December 5, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Lille vs Marseille prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lille's Last Match – Lille vs Paris FC
Lille must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 4-2 France Ligue 1 victory over Paris FC in their last outing. In that match, Lille recorded 52% possession, attempting 13 shots on goal, with 11 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lille | 52% | 13 (11) | 4 | 54 |
 Paris FC | 48% | 5 (3) | 1.35 | 32 |
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Newcastle
Marseille will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 UEFA Champions League triumph against Newcastle on November 25. In that match, Marseille had 58% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marseille | 58% | 12 (7) | 1.64 | 59 |
 Newcastle | 42% | 11 (9) | 1.46 | 52 |
Lille vs Marseille Stats
Key Stats
| Lille | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 0.66 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lille are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Marseille average 2.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Lille 18-13
Marseille 24-11
What are the odds for this match?
Lille to win: @2.55
Draw: @3.5
Marseille to win: @2.55