Our Lille vs Marseille Prediction: 2-1
Lille vs Marseille in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 4, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Lille vs Marseille prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lille's Last Match – Angers vs Lille
Lille will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 France Ligue 1 victory over Angers, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Lille saw 63% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Angers | 37% | 7 (3) | 0.71 | 50 |
Lille | 63% | 6 (5) | 1.36 | 67 |
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Brest
Determined to maintain their recent success, Marseille must win following their 4-1 France Ligue 1 victory against Brest on April 27. In that match, Marseille controlled 54% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Marseille | 54% | 10 (7) | 0.94 | 26 |
Brest | 46% | 7 (4) | 1.81 | 27 |
Lille vs Marseille Stats
Key Stats
| Lille | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 0.58 | Defence Strength | 1.08 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lille are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Marseille average 2.1 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Lille 13-12
Marseille 21-18
What are the odds for this match?
Lille to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.25
Marseille to win: @3.1
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9
Lineups
Lille (4-2-2-2) : Lucas Chevalier, Thomas Meunier, Aissa Mandi, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Ismaily, Benjamin Andre, Nabil Bentaleb, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Matias Fernandez, Jonathan David, Chuba Akpom
Marseille (4-2-3-1) : Geronimo Rulli, Amir Murillo, Leonardo Balerdi, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Ulisses Garcia, Ismael Bennacer, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot, Luis Henrique, Amine Gouiri