Our Marseille vs Lille Prediction: 2-1
Marseille vs Lille in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 16:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Marseille vs Lille prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Auxerre
Determined to maintain their recent success, Marseille must win following their 1-0 France Ligue 1 victory against Auxerre on March 13. In that match, Marseille had 58% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Marseille | 58% | 6 (3) | 0.87 | 63 |
Auxerre | 42% | 4 (3) | 0.3 | 28 |
Lille's Last Match – Aston Villa vs Lille
Lille will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 UEFA Europa League defeat against Aston Villa on March 19. In that match, Lille controlled 48% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Aston Villa | 52% | 7 (3) | 1.8 | 48 |
Lille | 48% | 4 (3) | 0.34 | 34 |
Marseille vs Lille Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Attacking Strength | 0.83 |
| 1.08 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Lille average 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Marseille 14-18
Lille 8-7
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.6
Lille to win: @3.7
Lineups
Marseille (4-2-3-1) : Geronimo Rulli, Tim Weah, Leonardo Balerdi, Facundo Medina, Emerson, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Mason Greenwood, Quinten Timber, Igor Paixao, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Lille (4-2-3-1) : Berke Ozer, Thomas Meunier, Nathan Ngoy, Aissa Mandi, Calvin Verdonk, Ayyoub Bouaddi, Nabil Bentaleb, Ngal'ayel Mukau, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, Felix Correia, Matias Fernandez



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