Our Lille vs Marseille Prediction: 1-1
Lille vs Marseille in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Friday December 5, 2025. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Lille vs Marseille prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lille's Last Match – Strasbourg vs Lille
Lille must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-2 France Ligue 1 defeat against Strasbourg on November 9. In that match, Lille recorded 58% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strasbourg | 42% | 4 (2) | 0.85 | 20 |
 Lille | 58% | 6 (3) | 0.25 | 69 |
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Brest
Marseille will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-0 France Ligue 1 triumph against Brest on November 8. In that match, Marseille had 64% possession and 15 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marseille | 64% | 15 (7) | 3.6 | 55 |
 Brest | 36% | 6 (3) | 0.46 | 23 |
Lille vs Marseille Stats
Key Stats
| Lille | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Attacking Strength | 0.92 |
| 0.54 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lille are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Marseille average 2.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
PSG 
Marseille 
Lens 
Strasbourg 
Lille 
Monaco 
Lyon 
Rennes 
Nice 
Toulouse 
Paris FC 
Le Havre 
Angers 
Metz 
Brest 
Nantes 
Lorient 
Auxerre