Our Marseille vs Lorient Prediction: 4-1
Marseille vs Lorient in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Friday September 12, 2025. A 4-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Marseille vs Lorient prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Lyon vs Marseille
Marseille will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 France Ligue 1 defeat against Lyon on August 31. In that match, Marseille recorded 42% possession, firing 3 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lyon | 58% | 6 (7) | 2.22 | 56 |
 Marseille | 42% | 3 (2) | 0.77 | 17 |
Lorient's Last Match – Lorient vs Lille
Lorient will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-7 France Ligue 1 loss to Lille on August 30. In that match, Lorient controlled 41% of possession and managed 2 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lorient | 41% | 2 (1) | 1.49 | 28 |
 Lille | 59% | 12 (11) | 2.96 | 55 |
Marseille vs Lorient Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.98 | Attacking Strength | 0.74 |
| 0.96 | Defence Strength | 1.18 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Lorient average 2.1 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Marseille 22-10
Lorient 21-16
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.333
Draw: @5.25
Lorient to win: @8
Lineups
Marseille (4-2-3-1) : Jeffrey De Lange, Amir Murillo, Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina, Angel Gomes, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Mason Greenwood, Bilal Nadir, Tim Weah, Amine Gouiri
Lorient (3-4-2-1) : Yvon Mvogo, Bamo Meite, Montassar Talbi, Abdoulaye Faye, Joel Mvuka, Noah Cadiou, Laurent Abergel, Darline Yongwa, Jean-Victor Makengo, Sambou Soumano, Karim Dermane
PSG 
Marseille 
Lens 
Strasbourg 
Lille 
Monaco 
Lyon 
Rennes 
Nice 
Toulouse 
Paris FC 
Le Havre 
Angers 
Metz 
Brest 
Nantes 
Lorient 
Auxerre