Our Marseille vs Nantes Prediction: 3-1
Marseille vs Nantes in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 2, 2025. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Marseille vs Nantes prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Auxerre vs Marseille
Marseille will hope to recover from their recent 0-3 France Ligue 1 setback against Auxerre on February 22. In that match, Marseille recorded 79% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auxerre | 21% | 9 (6) | 2.19 | 20 |
 Marseille | 79% | 8 (3) | 0.67 | 53 |
Nantes's Last Match – Nantes vs Lens
Nantes will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-1 France Ligue 1 victory over Lens on February 23. In that match, Nantes saw 35% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nantes | 35% | 12 (6) | 3.61 | 35 |
 Lens | 65% | 6 (4) | 1.9 | 43 |
Marseille vs Nantes Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | Attacking Strength | 0.78 |
| 1 | Defence Strength | 1.5 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Nantes average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Marseille 23-12
Nantes 16-18
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.4
Draw: @5
Nantes to win: @7
Lineups
Marseille (3-4-2-1) : Geronimo Rulli, Amir Murillo, Leonardo Balerdi, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Luis Henrique, Ismael Bennacer, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Quentin Merlin, Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot, Amine Gouiri
Nantes (4-3-3) : Anthony Lopes, Marcus Coco, Jean-Charles Castelletto, Saidou Sow, Nicolas Pallois, Louis Leroux, Pedro Chirivella, Francis Coquelin, Johann Lepenant, Matthis Abline, Moses Simon