Our Nantes vs Marseille Prediction: 1-3
Nantes vs Marseille in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Friday May 1, 2026. A 1-3 result in favor of the away side seems likely, but given the offensive strengths of both teams, over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative bet.
This Nantes vs Marseille prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nantes's Last Match – Auxerre vs Nantes
Nantes should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 France Ligue 1 draw against Auxerre on April 11. In that match, Nantes recorded 46% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auxerre | 54% | 2 (1) | 0.65 | 40 |
 Nantes | 46% | 11 (4) | 1.44 | 38 |
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Metz
Marseille will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-1 France Ligue 1 victory over Metz on April 10. In that match, Marseille controlled 54% of possession and managed 17 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marseille | 54% | 17 (10) | 3.33 | 56 |
 Metz | 46% | 3 (2) | 0.48 | 30 |
Nantes vs Marseille Stats
Key Stats
| Nantes | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.68 | Attacking Strength | 1.34 |
| 1.76 | Defence Strength | 1.05 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nantes are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Marseille average 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.