Our Marseille vs Metz Prediction: 2-1
Marseille vs Metz in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Friday April 10, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This Marseille vs Metz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Monaco vs Marseille
Marseille will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 France Ligue 1 loss to Monaco on April 5. In that match, Marseille recorded 52% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monaco | 48% | 7 (3) | 1.17 | 38 |
 Marseille | 52% | 11 (8) | 2.1 | 42 |
Metz's Last Match – Metz vs Nantes
Metz should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 France Ligue 1 draw against Nantes on April 5. In that match, Metz had 66% possession and 15 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Metz | 66% | 15 (6) | 2.31 | 60 |
 Nantes | 34% | 5 (2) | 0.45 | 23 |
Marseille vs Metz Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Metz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | Attacking Strength | 0.66 |
| 1.08 | Defence Strength | 1.36 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 0.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 0/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Metz average 0.6 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Marseille 14-17
Metz 6-20
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.25
Draw: @6
Metz to win: @11
Lineups
Marseille (3-4-2-1) : Geronimo Rulli, Benjamin Pavard, Leonardo Balerdi, Facundo Medina, Tim Weah, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Quinten Timber, Igor Paixao, Mason Greenwood, Amine Gouiri, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Metz (4-2-3-1) : Pape Sy, Koffi Kouao, Sadibou Sane, Alpha Toure, Maxime Colin, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Jessy Deminguet, Bouna Sarr, Gauthier Hein, Georgiy Tsitaishvili, Habib Diallo