Our Marseille vs Monaco Prediction: 5-1
Marseille vs Monaco in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 14, 2025. Our expert analysis predicts a correct score of 5-1 for the match between Marseille and Monaco.
This Marseille vs Monaco prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Newcastle
Marseille will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 UEFA Champions League victory over Newcastle, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Marseille had 58% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marseille | 58% | 12 (7) | 1.64 | 59 |
 Newcastle | 42% | 11 (9) | 1.46 | 52 |
Monaco's Last Match – Rennes vs Monaco
Monaco will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-4 France Ligue 1 defeat at the hands of Rennes on November 22. In that match, Monaco recorded 49% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rennes | 51% | 9 (12) | 3.61 | 62 |
 Monaco | 49% | 5 (5) | 1.32 | 63 |
Marseille vs Monaco Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.23 | Attacking Strength | 1.14 |
| 0.91 | Defence Strength | 1.27 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Monaco average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.