Our Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo Prediction: 1-2
Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo in the Uruguay Apertura is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Monday April 13, 2026. A 1-2 result in favor of the away side is our top pick, yet with both teams creating chances, BTTS is a smart alternative bet.
This Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Penarol's Last Match – Independiente Santa Fe vs Penarol
Penarol will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Copa Libertadores share of the spoils with Independiente Santa Fe on April 10. In that match, Penarol recorded 45% possession, firing 14 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente Santa Fe | 55% | 11 (2) | 0.92 | 43 |
 Penarol | 45% | 14 (6) | 1.17 | 38 |
Liverpool Montevideo's Last Match – Liverpool Montevideo vs Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo must win to recover from their recent 0-2 Uruguay Apertura defeat against Deportivo Maldonado on April 5 and regain momentum. In that match, Liverpool Montevideo saw 50% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liverpool Montevideo | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 65 |
 Deportivo Maldonado | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 33 |
Penarol vs Liverpool Montevideo Stats
Key Stats
| Penarol | Liverpool Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.47 | Attacking Strength | 1.21 |
| 1.3 | Defence Strength | 0.62 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Penarol are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Liverpool Montevideo average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Penarol 15-8
Liverpool Montevideo 11-12
What are the odds for this match?
Penarol to win: @1.6
Draw: @3.3
Liverpool Montevideo to win: @5.25