Our Independiente Santa Fe vs Penarol Prediction: 0-1
Independiente Santa Fe vs Penarol in the Copa Libertadores is scheduled for an 00:00 GMT kick-off on Friday April 10, 2026. Our forecast favors a 0-1 away victory for Penarol, with a single goal likely to decide this tense encounter against Independiente Santa Fe.
Our prediction is supported by key Independiente Santa Fe vs Penarol stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Independiente Santa Fe's Last Match – Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe should win to turn things around after settling for a 2-2 Colombia Primera A draw against Deportes Tolima on April 5. In that match, Independiente Santa Fe had 36% possession and 14 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deportes Tolima | 64% | 10 (5) | 0.71 | 31 |
 Independiente Santa Fe | 36% | 14 (6) | 1.21 | 28 |
Penarol's Last Match – Club Atletico Progreso vs Penarol
Penarol will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-0 Uruguay Apertura victory over Club Atletico Progreso on April 4. In that match, Penarol recorded 60% possession and 8 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Club Atletico Progreso | 40% | 0 (1) | - | 45 |
 Penarol | 60% | 0 (8) | - | 88 |
Independiente Santa Fe vs Penarol Stats
Key Stats
| Independiente Santa Fe | Penarol | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | Attacking Strength | 1.02 |
| 0.75 | Defence Strength | 1.01 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Independiente Santa Fe are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Penarol average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Independiente Santa Fe 12-14
Penarol 17-8
What are the odds for this match?
Independiente Santa Fe to win: @2.1
Draw: @3.1
Penarol to win: @3.8
Lineups
Independiente Santa Fe (4-2-3-1) : Andres Mosquera Marmolejo, Helibelton Palacios, Emanuel Olivera, Victor Moreno, Christian Mafla, Daniel Torres, Jhojan Torres, Luis Palacios, Yilmar Velasquez, Omar Fernandez, Hugo Rodallega
Penarol (4-2-3-1) : Sebastian Britos, Franco Escobar, Mauricio Lemos, Lucas Ferreira, Maximiliano Olivera, Eric Remedi, Roberto Fernandez, Luis Miguel Angulo, Leonardo Fernandez, Jesus Trindade, Matias Arezo
Rosario Central 
Independiente del Valle 
Libertad Asuncion