Our Marseille vs Liverpool Prediction: 1-2
Marseille vs Liverpool in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 21, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-2 away win, but with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is also worth considering.
This Marseille vs Liverpool prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Angers vs Marseille
Marseille will want to continue their winning form after a 5-2 France Ligue 1 victory over Angers, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Marseille saw 66% of the ball and created 17 goal attempts, with 14 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Angers | 34% | 3 (3) | 0.91 | 30 |
 Marseille | 66% | 17 (14) | 3.28 | 43 |
Liverpool's Last Match – Liverpool vs Burnley
Liverpool will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 England Premier League share of the spoils with Burnley on January 17. In that match, Liverpool controlled 73% of possession and managed 15 shots on goal, with 11 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liverpool | 73% | 15 (11) | 2.95 | 129 |
 Burnley | 27% | 5 (1) | 0.39 | 29 |
Marseille vs Liverpool Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Attacking Strength | 1.18 |
| 0.93 | Defence Strength | 0.38 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 3 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Liverpool average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Marseille 30-12
Liverpool 17-9
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @3.75
Draw: @3.7
Liverpool to win: @1.9