Our Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction: 2-1
Newcastle vs Liverpool in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday August 23, 2025. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Newcastle vs Liverpool prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Atletico Madrid
Newcastle will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 Elite Club Friendlies defeat against Atletico Madrid on August 9. In that match, Newcastle recorded 54% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle | 54% | 0 (2) | 0.81 | 47 |
Atletico Madrid | 46% | 0 (5) | 1.49 | 31 |
Liverpool's Last Match – Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
Liverpool will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 Community Shield draw with Crystal Palace on August 10. In that match, Liverpool recorded 56% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Crystal Palace | 44% | 7 (4) | 2.03 | 26 |
Liverpool | 56% | 9 (5) | 1.07 | 38 |
Newcastle vs Liverpool Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | Attacking Strength | 1.2 |
| 0.85 | Defence Strength | 0.92 |
| 0.6 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 10/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Liverpool average 2.3 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.