Our Louisville City FC vs New Mexico United Prediction: 3-1
Louisville City FC vs New Mexico United in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 00:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday August 24, 2025. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This Louisville City FC vs New Mexico United prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Louisville City FC's Last Match – Miami FC vs Louisville City FC
Louisville City FC will seek to keep their streak alive after a 4-2 USA USL Championship victory over Miami FC on August 16. In that match, Louisville City FC controlled 33% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami FC | 67% | 0 (8) | 1.39 | 71 |
 Louisville City FC | 33% | 0 (4) | 1.63 | 60 |
New Mexico United's Last Match – New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights FC
New Mexico United will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 USA USL Championship draw with Las Vegas Lights FC on August 17. In that match, New Mexico United saw 55% of the ball and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico United | 55% | 0 (3) | 0.5 | 57 |
 Las Vegas Lights FC | 45% | 0 (4) | 1.56 | 52 |
Louisville City FC vs New Mexico United Stats
Key Stats
| Louisville City FC | New Mexico United | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | Attacking Strength | 1.14 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 1.28 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Louisville City FC are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while New Mexico United average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.
Louisville City FC 24-14
New Mexico United 15-23
What are the odds for this match?
Louisville City FC to win: @1.444
Draw: @4.5
New Mexico United to win: @5.75
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