Our RB Leipzig vs Mainz Prediction: 3-1
RB Leipzig vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This RB Leipzig vs Mainz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
RB Leipzig's Last Match – St Pauli vs RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I stalemate against St Pauli on January 27. In that match, RB Leipzig recorded 54% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 46% | 5 (2) | 1.45 | 37 |
 RB Leipzig | 54% | 9 (5) | 1.09 | 56 |
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs Wolfsburg
Mainz will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-1 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Wolfsburg on January 24. In that match, Mainz recorded 60% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mainz | 60% | 12 (9) | 4.03 | 77 |
 Wolfsburg | 40% | 6 (2) | 0.65 | 29 |
RB Leipzig vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| RB Leipzig | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.48 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 1.24 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
RB Leipzig are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Mainz average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
RB Leipzig 20-13
Mainz 13-14
What are the odds for this match?
RB Leipzig to win: @1.533
Draw: @4.1
Mainz to win: @5.5