Our RB Leipzig vs Mainz Prediction: 3-1
RB Leipzig vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This RB Leipzig vs Mainz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
RB Leipzig's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-3 Germany Bundesliga I loss to Bayer Leverkusen on December 20. In that match, RB Leipzig recorded 44% possession, firing 16 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
RB Leipzig | 44% | 16 (7) | 1.8 | 60 |
Bayer Leverkusen | 56% | 12 (8) | 3.17 | 40 |
Mainz's Last Match – Union Berlin vs Mainz
Mainz will be determined to find a winning touch after a 2-2 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Union Berlin on January 10. In that match, Mainz recorded 44% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Union Berlin | 56% | 14 (5) | 2.65 | 45 |
Mainz | 44% | 9 (6) | 1.09 | 26 |
RB Leipzig vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| RB Leipzig | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 0.87 | Defence Strength | 1.3 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 2.7 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
RB Leipzig are averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Mainz average 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.



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