Our RB Leipzig vs Mainz Prediction: 3-1
RB Leipzig vs Mainz in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This RB Leipzig vs Mainz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
RB Leipzig's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-5 Germany Bundesliga I loss to Bayern Munich on January 17. In that match, RB Leipzig recorded 42% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 RB Leipzig | 42% | 10 (4) | 2.43 | 37 |
 Bayern Munich | 58% | 13 (12) | 4.63 | 44 |
Mainz's Last Match – Cologne vs Mainz
Mainz will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Germany Bundesliga I loss against Cologne on January 17. In that match, Mainz recorded 38% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cologne | 62% | 14 (6) | 2.51 | 80 |
 Mainz | 38% | 8 (7) | 1.22 | 38 |
RB Leipzig vs Mainz Stats
Key Stats
| RB Leipzig | Mainz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.48 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 0.95 | Defence Strength | 1.24 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
RB Leipzig are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Mainz average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
RB Leipzig 20-16
Mainz 10-14
What are the odds for this match?
RB Leipzig to win: @1.533
Draw: @4.1
Mainz to win: @5.5