Our St Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction: 1-1
St Pauli vs RB Leipzig in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Tuesday January 27, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This St Pauli vs RB Leipzig prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
St Pauli's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs St Pauli
St Pauli will aim to put their last result behind them following a 2-3 Germany Bundesliga I loss to Borussia Dortmund on January 17. In that match, St Pauli saw 37% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 63% | 8 (6) | 2.33 | 50 |
 St Pauli | 37% | 7 (5) | 0.5 | 35 |
RB Leipzig's Last Match – RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig will hope to recover from their recent 1-5 Germany Bundesliga I setback against Bayern Munich on January 17. In that match, RB Leipzig had 42% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 RB Leipzig | 42% | 10 (4) | 2.43 | 37 |
 Bayern Munich | 58% | 13 (12) | 4.63 | 44 |
St Pauli vs RB Leipzig Stats
Key Stats
| St Pauli | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | Attacking Strength | 0.74 |
| 1.28 | Defence Strength | 1.05 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Pauli are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while RB Leipzig average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
St Pauli 10-14
RB Leipzig 20-16
What are the odds for this match?
St Pauli to win: @4
Draw: @3.7
RB Leipzig to win: @1.8