Our St Pauli vs RB Leipzig Prediction: 1-1
St Pauli vs RB Leipzig in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Tuesday January 27, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This St Pauli vs RB Leipzig prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
St Pauli's Last Match – St Pauli vs Hamburg
St Pauli will look to build on their last result following a 0-0 Germany Bundesliga I stalemate against Hamburg on January 23. In that match, St Pauli saw 43% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 43% | 6 (3) | 0.26 | 30 |
 Hamburg | 57% | 3 (2) | 0.35 | 41 |
RB Leipzig's Last Match – Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-0 Germany Bundesliga I success over Heidenheim on January 24. In that match, RB Leipzig had 74% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Heidenheim | 26% | 6 (2) | 1.25 | 57 |
 RB Leipzig | 74% | 9 (7) | 1.69 | 62 |
St Pauli vs RB Leipzig Stats
Key Stats
| St Pauli | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | Attacking Strength | 0.74 |
| 1.28 | Defence Strength | 1.05 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
St Pauli are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while RB Leipzig average 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
St Pauli 9-12
RB Leipzig 20-15
What are the odds for this match?
St Pauli to win: @4
Draw: @3.7
RB Leipzig to win: @1.8