Our Malawi vs Lesotho Prediction: 3-1
Malawi vs Lesotho in the COSAFA Cup is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday June 5, 2025. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This Malawi vs Lesotho prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Malawi's Last Match – Malawi vs South Africa
Malawi will aim to maintain their momentum following a 1-0 African Nations C'ship Qualifying triumph against South Africa on May 3. In that match, Malawi controlled 50% of possession and managed 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Malawi | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 67 |
 South Africa | 50% | 0 (0) | - | 57 |
Lesotho's Last Match – Rwanda vs Lesotho
Lesotho will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Africa - World Cup Qualifying draw against Rwanda on March 25. In that match, Lesotho recorded 67% possession and 1 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rwanda | 33% | 0 (3) | - | 9 |
 Lesotho | 67% | 1 (1) | - | 10 |
Malawi vs Lesotho Stats
Key Stats
| Malawi | Lesotho | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 0.63 | Defence Strength | 1.68 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | BTTS | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 0.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Malawi are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Lesotho average 0.4 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Malawi 9-11
Lesotho 4-15
What are the odds for this match?
Malawi to win: @2.4
Draw: @2.9
Lesotho to win: @2.8