Our Man Utd vs Brighton Prediction: 1-1
Man Utd vs Brighton in the England FA Cup is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 11, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Man Utd vs Brighton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Man Utd's Last Match – Burnley vs Man Utd
Man Utd will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 England Premier League stalemate against Burnley on January 7. In that match, Man Utd recorded 65% possession, attempting 19 shots on goal, with 10 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 35% | 2 (1) | 0.23 | 28 |
 Man Utd | 65% | 19 (10) | 2.19 | 54 |
Brighton's Last Match – Man City vs Brighton
Brighton will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 England Premier League draw with Man City on January 7. In that match, Brighton controlled 40% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man City | 60% | 13 (6) | 2.35 | 82 |
 Brighton | 40% | 7 (3) | 0.81 | 22 |
Man Utd vs Brighton Stats
Key Stats
| Man Utd | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | Attacking Strength | 1.41 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 0.61 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Man Utd are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Brighton average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Man Utd 17-14
Brighton 14-13
What are the odds for this match?
Man Utd to win: @1.833
Draw: @3.9
Brighton to win: @3.75