Our Burnley vs Man Utd Prediction: 1-2
Burnley vs Man Utd in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 20:15 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 7, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Burnley vs Man Utd prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Brighton vs Burnley
Burnley will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 England Premier League loss to Brighton on January 3. In that match, Burnley saw 40% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brighton | 60% | 10 (4) | 1.33 | 57 |
 Burnley | 40% | 6 (3) | 0.3 | 31 |
Man Utd's Last Match – Leeds vs Man Utd
Man Utd will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 England Premier League draw with Leeds on January 4. In that match, Man Utd recorded 55% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leeds | 45% | 8 (3) | 0.92 | 51 |
 Man Utd | 55% | 9 (2) | 1.45 | 27 |
Burnley vs Man Utd Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Man Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.52 | Attacking Strength | 1.29 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 1.1 |
| 0.2 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 0/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Man Utd average 1.7 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Burnley 8-20
Man Utd 17-14
What are the odds for this match?
Burnley to win: @4.75
Draw: @4
Man Utd to win: @1.7
Lineups
Burnley (3-4-2-1) : Martin Dubravka, Josh Laurent, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino Luis, Lucas Pires, Marcus Edwards, Hannibal Mejbri, Armando Broja
Man Utd (4-2-3-1) : Senne Lammens, Diogo Dalot, Ayden Heaven, Lisandro Martinez, Luke Shaw, Manuel Ugarte, Casemiro, Patrick Dorgu, Bruno Fernandes, Matheus Cunha, Benjamin Sesko