Our Marseille vs Brest Prediction: 3-1
Marseille vs Brest in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 27, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Marseille vs Brest prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Montpellier
Marseille will aim to maintain their momentum following a 5-1 France Ligue 1 triumph against Montpellier on April 19. In that match, Marseille saw 68% of the ball and created 11 goal attempts, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Marseille | 68% | 11 (9) | 3.43 | 60 |
Montpellier | 32% | 3 (1) | 0.24 | 19 |
Brest's Last Match – Brest vs Lens
Brest will look to get back on track following a 1-3 France Ligue 1 loss against Lens on April 20. In that match, Brest had 44% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Brest | 44% | 8 (4) | 0.68 | 33 |
Lens | 56% | 10 (9) | 2.28 | 51 |
Marseille vs Brest Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | Attacking Strength | 1.15 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 1 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Brest average 1.5 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Marseille 19-17
Brest 15-21
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.5
Draw: @4.5
Brest to win: @6
Lineups
Marseille (3-4-2-1) : Geronimo Rulli, Amir Murillo, Leonardo Balerdi, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Ulisses Garcia, Valentin Rongier, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Adrien Rabiot, Luis Henrique, Amine Gouiri
Brest (4-3-3) : Gregorie Coudert, Kenny Lala, Brendan Chardonnet, Julien Le Cardinal, Massadio Haidara, Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara, Hugo Magnetti, Mathias Pereira Lage, Ludovic Ajorque, Abdallah Sima