Our Marseille vs Nice Prediction: 2-1
Marseille vs Nice in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 26, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Marseille vs Nice prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Metz
Marseille must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-1 France Ligue 1 victory over Metz in their last outing. In that match, Marseille had 54% possession and 17 attempts at goal, with 10 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marseille | 54% | 17 (10) | 3.33 | 56 |
 Metz | 46% | 3 (2) | 0.48 | 30 |
Nice's Last Match – Nice vs Le Havre
Nice should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 France Ligue 1 draw against Le Havre on April 12. In that match, Nice saw 46% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nice | 46% | 10 (5) | 2.04 | 38 |
 Le Havre | 54% | 8 (5) | 1.95 | 41 |
Marseille vs Nice Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | Attacking Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.01 | Defence Strength | 1.24 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Nice average 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Marseille 14-18
Nice 7-18
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.5
Draw: @4.333
Nice to win: @6