Real Madrid vs Marseille Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Real Madrid vs Marseille Prediction: 3-1

Real Madrid vs Marseille in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday September 16, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.

This Real Madrid vs Marseille prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

→ View Today's Exact Score Tips

Recent Form Insights

Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid

Real Madrid will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 Spain La Liga win against Real Sociedad on September 13. In that match, Real Madrid had 36% possession and 14 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Real Sociedad	64%	16 (4)	2.66	70
Real Madrid	36%	14 (6)	1.97	34

Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Lorient

Marseille must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 4-0 France Ligue 1 victory over Lorient in their last outing. In that match, Marseille recorded 72% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Marseille	72%	9 (7)	2.12	93
Lorient	28%	2 (2)	0.13	13

Real Madrid vs Marseille Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Real Madrid are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Marseille average 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Real Madrid to win: @1.333

Draw: @5.5

Marseille to win: @8

Lineups

Real Madrid (4-3-3) : Thibaut Courtois, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Eder Militao, Dean Huijsen, Alvaro Carreras, Federico Valverde, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Franco Mastantuono, Kylian Mbappe, Rodrygo

Marseille (4-2-3-1) : Geronimo Rulli, Benjamin Pavard, Facundo Medina, Leonardo Balerdi, Emerson, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Matt O'Riley, Tim Weah, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Real Madrid Fixtures

Marseille Fixtures