Our Real Madrid vs Marseille Prediction: 3-1
Real Madrid vs Marseille in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday September 16, 2025. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Real Madrid vs Marseille prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Exact Score Tips
Recent Form Insights
Real Madrid's Last Match – Real Madrid vs Mallorca
Real Madrid will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 Spain La Liga win against Mallorca on August 30. In that match, Real Madrid had 58% possession and 14 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 58% | 14 (7) | 1.7 | 93 |
![]() | 42% | 8 (5) | 0.65 | 23 |
Marseille's Last Match – Lyon vs Marseille
Marseille must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 France Ligue 1 defeat against Lyon on August 31. In that match, Marseille recorded 42% possession, attempting 3 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 58% | 6 (7) | 2.22 | 56 |
![]() | 42% | 3 (2) | 0.77 | 17 |
Real Madrid vs Marseille Stats
Key Stats
Real Madrid | Marseille | |
---|---|---|
1.45 | Attacking Strength | 0.36 |
1.17 | Defence Strength | 1.02 |
2.5 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
8/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
2.1 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Real Madrid are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Marseille average 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Real Madrid 21-9
Marseille 22-10
What are the odds for this match?
Real Madrid to win: @1.363
Draw: @5.5
Marseille to win: @7.5