Our Mathare United vs Tusker Prediction: 0-1
Mathare United vs Tusker in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. Mathare United will put up a strong fight, but Tusker’s composure on the road could see them claim a hard-fought 0-1 victory.
This Mathare United vs Tusker prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mathare United's Last Match – Mathare United vs KCB
After suffering a 1-2 Kenya Premier League loss to KCB, Mathare United must win to get back on track. In that match, Mathare United had 58% possession and 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mathare United | 58% | 0 (4) | - | 78 |
 KCB | 42% | 0 (3) | - | 83 |
Tusker's Last Match – Tusker vs Posta Rangers
Tusker will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Kenya Premier League draw against Posta Rangers on January 31. In that match, Tusker saw 53% of the ball and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tusker | 53% | 0 (5) | - | 78 |
 Posta Rangers | 47% | 0 (5) | - | 56 |
Mathare United vs Tusker Stats
Key Stats
| Mathare United | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | Attacking Strength | 1.08 |
| 1.19 | Defence Strength | 0.5 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.5 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mathare United are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Tusker average 0.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.