Our Tusker vs Mathare United Prediction: 1-0
Tusker vs Mathare United in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 12:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday October 1, 2025. We anticipate a close game, with Tusker securing a 1-0 win thanks to a crucial moment of quality against Mathare United.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tusker's Last Match – Posta Rangers vs Tusker
Tusker will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 Kenya Premier League setback against Posta Rangers on September 27. In that match, Tusker controlled 58% of possession and managed 10 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Posta Rangers | 42% | 0 (6) | - | 50 |
 Tusker | 58% | 0 (10) | - | 95 |
Mathare United's Last Match – KCB vs Mathare United
Mathare United will aim to maintain their momentum following a 1-0 Kenya Premier League triumph against KCB on September 26. In that match, Mathare United saw 50% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 KCB | 50% | 0 (1) | - | 88 |
 Mathare United | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 58 |
Tusker vs Mathare United Stats
Key Stats
| Tusker | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | Attacking Strength | 0.8 |
| 0.46 | Defence Strength | 1.1 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.6 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tusker are averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Mathare United average 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.