Lugo vs Merida Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Lugo vs Merida Prediction: 2-1

Lugo vs Merida in the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 is scheduled for an 11:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 3, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.

This Lugo vs Merida prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Lugo's Last Match – Lugo vs Ourense

Determined to maintain their recent success, Lugo must win following their 2-1 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 victory against Ourense on December 21. In that match, Lugo recorded 50% possession, firing 5 shots on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Lugo	50%	0 (5)	-	64
Ourense	50%	0 (4)	-	69

Merida's Last Match – Merida vs Athletic Bilbao B

Merida will look to get back on track following a 2-3 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 loss against Athletic Bilbao B on December 19. In that match, Merida controlled 51% of possession and managed 8 shots on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Merida	51%	0 (8)	-	30
Athletic Bilbao B	49%	0 (6)	-	48

Lugo vs Merida Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Lugo are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Merida average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Lugo to win: @1.909

Draw: @3.1

Merida to win: @3.75

Lugo Fixtures

Merida Fixtures