Our Metz vs Lille Prediction: 1-2
Metz vs Lille in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 8, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Metz vs Lille prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Metz's Last Match – Strasbourg vs Metz
Metz will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 France Ligue 1 defeat against Strasbourg on January 18. In that match, Metz controlled 52% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strasbourg | 48% | 11 (6) | 1.11 | 67 |
 Metz | 52% | 5 (2) | 1.08 | 37 |
Lille's Last Match – PSG vs Lille
Lille will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-3 France Ligue 1 loss to PSG on January 16. In that match, Lille recorded 39% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 PSG | 61% | 10 (7) | 1.25 | 62 |
 Lille | 39% | 5 (4) | 0.78 | 32 |
Metz vs Lille Stats
Key Stats
| Metz | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 1.15 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Metz are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Lille average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.