Our Mirassol vs Santos Prediction: 3-1
Mirassol vs Santos in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 00:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 11, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Mirassol vs Santos prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mirassol's Last Match – Mirassol vs Portuguesa Desportos
Mirassol will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Brazil Campeonato Paulista loss against Portuguesa Desportos on February 15. In that match, Mirassol had 62% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mirassol | 62% | 11 (3) | 0.68 | 74 |
 Portuguesa Desportos | 38% | 2 (2) | 1.05 | 81 |
Santos's Last Match – Santos vs Vasco da Gama
Determined to maintain their recent success, Santos must win following their 2-1 Brazil Serie A victory against Vasco da Gama on February 26. In that match, Santos saw 41% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Santos | 41% | 7 (4) | 0.86 | 47 |
 Vasco da Gama | 59% | 8 (2) | 1.41 | 52 |
Mirassol vs Santos Stats
Key Stats
| Mirassol | Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | Attacking Strength | 1.29 |
| 0.92 | Defence Strength | 1.25 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mirassol are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Santos average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Mirassol 13-13
Santos 16-14
What are the odds for this match?
Mirassol to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.5
Santos to win: @3.8
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85
Lineups
Mirassol (4-2-3-1) : Walter, Igor Formiga, Joao Victor, Willian Machado, Reinaldo, Neto Moura, Jose Aldo, Negueba, Shaylon, Alesson, Nathan Fogaca
Santos (4-2-3-1) : Gabriel Brazao, Igor Vinicius, Adonis Frias, Luan Peres, Vinicius Rodrigues Lira, Willian Arao, Joao Schmidt, Thaciano, Gabriel Morais Silva Bontempo, Rony, Gabriel Barbosa