Our Estonia vs Moldova Prediction: 3-1
Estonia vs Moldova in the Europe - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday October 14, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
Our prediction is supported by key Estonia vs Moldova stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Estonia's Last Match – Estonia vs Italy
Estonia will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 Europe - World Cup Qualifying defeat against Italy on October 11. In that match, Estonia recorded 36% possession, firing 2 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Estonia | 36% | 2 (1) | 0.97 | 14 |
 Italy | 64% | 14 (9) | 2.29 | 47 |
Moldova's Last Match – Romania vs Moldova
Moldova must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 International Match defeat against Romania on October 9. In that match, Moldova controlled 63% of possession and managed 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Romania | 37% | 0 (3) | - | 71 |
 Moldova | 63% | 0 (1) | - | 33 |
Estonia vs Moldova Stats
Key Stats
| Estonia | Moldova | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.71 | Attacking Strength | 0.39 |
| 1.83 | Defence Strength | 2.6 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 0.4 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 0.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Estonia are averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Moldova average 0.6 scored and 3.1 conceded per game.
Estonia 6-20
Moldova 6-31
What are the odds for this match?
Estonia to win: @1.85
Draw: @3.3
Moldova to win: @4.1